2024 Presidential Projections. Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates joe biden’s and donald trump’s probabilities. Election polls | gop 2024 polls | dem 2024 polls | senate polls | house polls | governor polls | state of union.


2024 Presidential Projections

Us elections 2024 will be held in november but new polls are showing its advantage to kamala harris over donald trump. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

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